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Andrew Rosenbaum is a journalist specialising in business, finance, banking, insurance, reinsurance, asset allocation, wealth management, software and telecommunications based in Larnaca, Cyprus.
Portfolio
Commodities price rises to continue in ‘Supercycle' - Economists
Commodities prices are expected to continue rising due to a structural upward shift in demand, marking a potential 'Supercycle.' Analysts highlight the transition to green energy, government stimulus packages, and post-pandemic demand as key drivers. The European Central Bank is monitoring inflation, which is currently at 3% in the Euro area but is considered transitory. The Supercycle is likely to impact renewable energy development, electric vehicle adoption, and data infrastructure expansion, increasing demand for various industrial and precious metals.
Russia's Yandex to test self-driving taxis in Moscow
Russian tech giant Yandex plans to start testing autonomous taxis in Moscow this year, with the initial launch in the Yasenevo district. Yandex has been developing self-driving technology for over three years and operates in Russia, Israel, and the United States. The company aims to expand the service over time. Current Russian legislation restricts driverless vehicles, but changes may allow broader use. Yandex's fleet has traveled over 14 million kilometers, and the company also uses self-driving robots for food delivery in the U.S. Yandex recently increased its stake in joint ventures with Uber as part of a $1 billion deal.
Bitcoin rises above $51,000; ether at $3,932
Bitcoin rose to $51,709, marking an 81% increase from its January low, while Ethereum's ether reached $3,932, up 40% in the past three months. Other cryptocurrencies like Cardano and Solana have also seen significant gains. Analysts attribute these trends to supply shock ratios and market conditions, with retail buyers showing interest in exponential growth opportunities.
Turkish sees economic growth jump from pandemic lows fueled by cheap credit
Turkey's economy experienced a record 21.7% growth in the second quarter compared to the previous year, driven by cheap credit from state banks. However, analysts remain skeptical about the sustainability and quality of this growth. Inflation is expected to stay close to 19%, influenced by consumer demand, lira depreciation, and rising global commodity prices. President Erdogan continues to advocate for an interest-rate cut, but experts predict that any easing of rates is unlikely until the end of the year. The lira's value remains vulnerable to potential interest rate changes and global economic shifts.
Lebanese fintech leader plans European expansion from Nicosia
FOO, a leading fintech provider from Lebanon, has opened an office in Nicosia, Cyprus, as part of its strategy to expand into Europe. Founded by Elie Nasr and Ghady Rayes, the company specializes in digital payment solutions and has a significant presence in the MENA region. FOO plans to leverage Cyprus's strategic location and infrastructure to grow its European operations, including opening offices in Spain and Eastern Europe. The company aims to collaborate with local universities, recruit local talent, and establish a delivery center in Cyprus. FOO's innovative work has been recognized with several awards, and it continues to seek investment for global expansion.
Turkish central bank 'drops' $25bn in debt
Turkey's central bank revised the criteria for short-term external debt, reducing it by $25 billion, which has raised concerns about the credibility of its data. The revisions improved Turkey's net international investment position but did not significantly affect the short-term debt to reserves ratio. Critics view these changes as superficial, aimed at improving the debt outlook amid dwindling investor confidence. The central bank's credibility remains under scrutiny, with experts expressing doubts about its reliability. Additionally, Turkey's Finance Ministry received $6.3 billion from the IMF, a point of contention in Turkish parliament.
EFG Bank integrates innovation into strategy for clients
Greece Travel Receipts Up by 51% in January – June
Travel receipts in Greece increased by 51% in the first half of 2021 compared to the same period in 2020, driven by a significant rise in receipts from EU27 residents, particularly from Germany and France. Despite a decrease in the number of inbound travelers, the balance of travel services showed a surplus. June 2021 saw a record increase in travel receipts, with notable contributions from both EU27 and non-EU27 countries. Deputy Tourism Minister Sofia Zacharaki highlighted efforts to boost tourism in the upcoming months.
Europe could see natural gas shortages, price rises this winter
Europe faces potential natural gas shortages and significant price increases this winter due to low storage levels, increased demand, and reduced supply from Russia. The EU's storage facilities are currently below the necessary capacity to buffer against market fluctuations. Technical issues at global suppliers and the diversion of gas to higher-paying Asian markets exacerbate the situation. Experts suggest that prices may not ease until 2022, with hopes pinned on a mild winter to mitigate demand.
Libya offers $100bn in reconstruction projects
Libya is offering $100 billion in reconstruction projects to rebuild its infrastructure after a decade of conflict. The UN's initiative to stabilize the government has reduced the risk for foreign companies eyeing these projects. Key stakeholders include Italy, Egypt, Turkey, and Tunisia. Economist Kamal Mansouri and Libyan billionaire Husni Bey highlight the need for significant reforms and private sector involvement. The hydrocarbon sector requires legislative changes to sustain crude output. Interim Prime Minister Abdul Hamid Dbeibeh plans to allocate $4.9 billion for development, but private financing is essential for comprehensive reconstruction.
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