The New Strategic Reduction Arms Treaty (New START) between Russia and the United States is at risk of expiring without extension. Democrats consistently support its extension, viewing it as crucial for limiting nuclear arsenals and enhancing national security. However, the Trump administration, influenced by anti-arms control ideologues, has shown disinterest in maintaining international agreements, leading to the demise of other treaties such as the INF and Open Skies. The Russian government is open to an unconditional extension, but the U.S. has not reciprocated. The next administration will face the urgent task of rebuilding arms control frameworks, with limited time to extend New START or negotiate a new treaty amidst a challenging political climate.

The Trump administration's appointment of Marshall Billingslea as a special envoy for nuclear talks signals a lack of interest in genuine arms control agreements. Billingslea, known for his hawkish stance on nuclear weapons and controversial involvement in the Bush administration's torture program, is unlikely to advance meaningful negotiations. With the New START treaty's expiration approaching, the administration's actions suggest a disregard for extending the treaty, potentially ending arms control as it currently exists between the U.S. and Russia.