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Check FAQAbout Jose
jose chalhoub is a journalist based in Caracas, Venezuela. I have a major in political science worked for 13 years in the oil sector and now providing country risks assessments and oil markets insights and analyses. Often been quoted in different specialized media in oil markets issues, Venezuela and Latinamerica.
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Interview (Video / Broadcast)
Fact Checking
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Venezuela’s gasoline and diesel shortage: No light at end of the tunnel?
Venezuela is facing severe gasoline and diesel shortages due to mismanagement by the state-run oil company PDVSA, compounded by US sanctions. The crisis has led to a collapse in oil production and refining capabilities, resulting in skyrocketing food prices, shortages, and a black market controlled by military officials. The Maduro government has sought help from allies like Iran and has used the crisis as a tool for social control. The Biden administration's decision to maintain sanctions and the lack of recent aid from Iran have exacerbated the situation. With regional elections approaching, the government faces pressure to resolve the energy crisis amidst a deep economic crisis and potential social unrest.
Can Venezuela become an oil exporter to the U.S.?
The possibility of Venezuela becoming an oil exporter to the U.S. is complicated by operational, financial, and political challenges. Despite Chevron receiving approval to trade and ship Venezuelan oil, PDVSA's production remains low due to mismanagement and corruption. The Biden administration may seek political concessions from Caracas, such as the release of political prisoners and free elections, in exchange for lifting sanctions. The presence of Russian and Chinese companies in Venezuela and the need for significant investment to increase production further complicate the situation. The geopolitical landscape, including the war in Ukraine and OPEC+'s recent decisions, also influences the potential for Venezuelan oil to re-enter the U.S. market.
The Potential of Palestinian Gas and the Role of Regional Powers: From Promise to Action
Recent developments indicate positive progress on the Gaza marine gas field, with Israel's preliminary approval following mediation by Egypt and Jordan. This project, which could yield $2.5 billion over 15 years, is seen as beneficial for energy security in Gaza, the Palestinian economy, and Israel's regional standing. The preliminary deal involves Egypt's EGAS developing the field, with revenues going to the Palestinian Authority. Public perceptions in Gaza are mixed, with some optimistic about economic benefits and others skeptical. Egypt and Jordan have played significant roles in mediating the agreement, which aligns with their regional interests. The project is expected to foster economic interdependencies and enhance regional cooperation, with a final agreement anticipated to bring substantial economic and security benefits to the involved parties.
A brief analysis of the political landscape of Venezuela ahead of 2024 elections
An analysis of the crisis in the oil industry of Venezuela
Venezuela Oil Corruption Massive Scandal Prompts Rare Resignation Of Oil Minister
Former Venezuelan Oil Minister Tarek Al Aissami resigned due to a corruption scandal involving the theft of $3 billion from PDVSA's oil sales, leading to arrests including the head of the cryptocurrency system SUNACRIP. His resignation, amid U.S. sanctions, may signal internal political shifts and a potential opening for U.S. oil investments, especially given the recent license issued to CHEVRON. The scandal emerges as Venezuela faces presidential elections in 2024 and must decide between maintaining alliances with Moscow, Iran, and Beijing or re-engaging with the U.S. The global oil market context, with Russian oil under sanctions and Venezuela's proximity to the U.S., adds to the strategic significance of the developments.
Venezuela Oil Corruption Massive Scandal Prompts Rare Resignation Of Oil Minister
Former Venezuelan Oil Minister Tarek Al Aissami resigned due to a corruption scandal involving the state oil company PDVSA, which included the theft of $3 billion from oil sales and the arrest of the head of Venezuela's official cryptocurrency system, SUNACRIP. The scandal comes as Venezuela prepares for presidential elections in 2024 and amid speculation about the country's political alignment and its impact on global oil markets. President Maduro appointed Pedro Telechea as the new Oil Minister. The situation raises questions about Venezuela's future relations with key global players, including the US, Russia, Iran, and China.
PetroYuan - China's Oil Futures are Gaining Momentum
The PetroYuan, China's oil futures market, is gaining momentum as a potential counterbalance to the US PetroDollar monopoly. The Chinese government has been planning the PetroYuan for nearly a decade, and it is now becoming a reality, with the promise of being fully convertible to physical gold on the Hong Kong and Dubai exchanges. While Western mainstream media has largely ignored its significance, some outlets like Zero Hedge have recognized its potential impact. Countries like Russia, Iran, and Venezuela are moving away from the US Dollar in oil trades, and Saudi Arabia's stance will be pivotal. The PetroYuan is seen as an incremental, slow-moving force that could significantly alter the global economic landscape.
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