The article examines the accuracy of polls in the context of the 2024 US elections, highlighting past inaccuracies in the 2016 and 2020 elections. It discusses the challenges pollsters face, such as reaching reluctant voters and accounting for education levels. Charles Franklin, a polling expert, notes the unique distrust Trump supporters have towards polls, contributing to past errors. Pollsters have since adjusted methodologies, incorporating new communication methods to better capture voter sentiment. The effectiveness of these changes remains to be seen post-election.

The article examines the accuracy of polls in the context of the 2024 US presidential election, highlighting past inaccuracies in 2016 and 2020. It discusses the challenges pollsters face, such as reaching reluctant respondents and the unique distrust of Trump supporters towards polling organizations. Experts, including Charles Franklin, emphasize the need for new methodologies, such as using email and text, to improve polling accuracy. The American Association for Public Opinion Research notes that 2020 polls were the most inaccurate in 40 years, prompting pollsters to adjust their methods to better reflect voter views.

As the US presidential election approaches, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are the main contenders following Joe Biden's withdrawal due to health concerns. Polls indicate a tightening race, with Trump gaining ground in key swing states. Harris maintains a slight national lead according to TIPP, a historically accurate pollster. The economy emerges as a critical issue, with Trump perceived as more capable in this area. The article highlights the fluctuating dynamics of the election, with both candidates having strengths in different policy areas.

The upcoming US presidential election between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is highly competitive, with national polls showing a narrow lead for Harris. However, Trump is performing well in key swing states, potentially securing a significant Electoral College victory. Despite some positive polling for Harris, economic issues remain a strong point for Trump, influencing voter sentiment. Betting markets currently favor Trump, reflecting his perceived advantage. The outcome remains uncertain, with economic concerns playing a pivotal role in voter decision-making.

As the US presidential elections approach, discussions around the Electoral College system have intensified. The system, designed to balance state power and prevent Congress from deciding the winner, requires a candidate to secure at least 270 electoral votes. Historical voting patterns reveal that while Democrats dominate states like Maryland and Massachusetts, Republicans hold sway in the Southeast and Western states. Despite winning fewer states, Democrats benefit from higher populations in their strongholds, whereas Republicans need to capture as many states as possible to win. Recent trends show some traditionally Republican states shifting towards Democrats, with little movement in the opposite direction.

The article examines the historical voting patterns of US states in presidential elections since 1924, highlighting the role of the Electoral College. It discusses the dominance of Democrats in states like Maryland and Massachusetts, and Republicans in the southeast and western states. The analysis notes the strategic challenges for Republicans, who must secure numerous states to win, while Democrats rely on fewer but more populous states. Recent trends show medium-sized states like Arizona and Georgia shifting towards Democrats, with little movement in strongly Democratic states.

Hurricane Milton is impacting central Florida, causing power outages, housing destruction, and tornadoes. Although it has decreased to a category 1 hurricane, it continues to bring strong winds and poses a flood risk.

Following Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014, NATO countries pledged to allocate 2% of their GDP to defense spending by 2024. As the deadline approaches, only 11 NATO countries are expected to meet this target. Despite opposition from countries like Luxembourg and Canada, the 2% goal is likely to become a military commitment. However, there are uncertainties about how quickly NATO members will achieve this target. According to NATO data, Turkey's military spending is 1.31% of its GDP, while Poland allocates around 4%. The US defense budget is approximately $860 billion, or 3.49% of its GDP. Montenegro spends the least in absolute terms but allocates 1.87% of its GDP to defense, while Luxembourg spends the least percentage-wise at 0.72%.

Following Turkey's May elections, changes in economic management were made with Mehmet Şimşek appointed as Minister of Treasury and Finance and Hafize Gaye Erkan as Central Bank Governor. Despite a shift towards 'rational policies,' experts like MIT Professor Daron Acemoğlu express skepticism about the effectiveness of these changes without a capable team to implement structural reforms. Acemoğlu highlights the need for addressing deep-rooted issues such as corruption, inefficiency, and inadequate investment in technology and education. He emphasizes the importance of foreign investment for Turkey's economy, which is currently hindered by uncertainty and negative real interest rates. The article also touches on the potential role of the IMF in providing a framework for reform and the challenges facing Turkey's middle class due to stagnant wages and high inflation. Acemoğlu stresses the urgency of technological investment and educational improvements to harness Turkey's young workforce and improve economic productivity.