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Check FAQAbout Kyaw
Freelance journalist and researcher from Rakhine State, covering politics, humanitarian crisis, civil war, and military coup in Myanmar.
Portfolio
Top US general says risk of broader war ‘somewhat’ abated after Israel-Hezbollah clash
The risk of a broader war has somewhat decreased following a clash between Israel and Hezbollah, according to a top US general. The statement comes amid ongoing tensions and military actions in the region, with significant implications for international relations and regional stability.
How Your Brain Makes Utilitarian Decisions
Explores the brain's role in balancing conflicting preferences for the greater good, delving into the neuroscience behind utilitarian decision-making processes.
A New Era is Dawning For the People of Myanmar’s Rakhine State
The Arakan Army (AA) has seized control of Mrauk-U and other towns in Myanmar's Rakhine State, signaling a potential shift towards independence for the region. The AA, under the leadership of Maj. Gen. Twan Mrat Naing and Brig. Gen. Dr. Nyo Twan Awng, has gained popularity and strength since its emergence in 2009, contrasting with the Arakan Liberation Army/Arakan Liberation Party. The AA's military successes and political roadmap, the 'Arakan Dream 2020,' have garnered support among the Rakhine people. Despite challenges such as ethnic tensions, political unrest, and the humanitarian crisis, there is hope for a new era of governance in Rakhine, potentially inspired by Singapore's model. The future of Rakhine's political trajectory remains uncertain, but the capture of Mrauk-U offers a glimmer of hope for peace, prosperity, and dignity for its people.
New Battlefront Emerging in Western Myanmar
The Arakan Army (AA) has made significant territorial gains against the State Administration Council (SAC) forces in Rakhine State, Myanmar, following the Operation 1027 offensive in late October. The conflict, which resumed in November 2023 after a year-long informal ceasefire, has seen the AA capture several townships and engage in over 100 clashes with the SAC, some of which were fierce battles. The SAC's response has included indiscriminate attacks on civilians and cultural heritage sites, suggesting a defensive stance. The AA's control of strategic areas has disrupted SAC supply routes and complicated Chinese infrastructure projects. Despite a trade and travel blockade by the SAC, the AA's advances continue, potentially bolstering armed resistance across Myanmar.
Is Myanmar’s Civil War Pushing the Country Toward Fragmentation?
Myanmar faces a critical juncture with escalating military losses and coordinated attacks by resistance forces and ethnic armed organizations, raising concerns about potential fragmentation. Analysts highlight the existential threat to the junta and the need for comprehensive security sector reform. The National Unity Government and ethnic armed organizations must manage the military's potential collapse to avoid chaos. Historical grievances and the failure to honor autonomy promises have deepened ethnic divisions. The National Unity Government must adopt inclusive political strategies and structural reforms to foster unity and prevent disintegration, moving beyond the legacy of division towards a future of peace and cooperation.
As war dynamics change, localisation is now vital for effective aid in Myanmar’s Rakhine
The intensifying conflict in Myanmar has led to increased humanitarian needs, highlighting the importance of supporting local community groups that form the response effort's backbone. The end of an informal ceasefire in Rakhine State has resulted in civilian casualties and displacement. Local organizations, often more adaptable and efficient than international NGOs, face challenges due to military blockades and a restrictive NGO registration law. The article advocates for a shift towards locally led responses, emphasizing the operational advantages and urging international actors to take immediate actions to support local networks, adopt a bottom-up approach, and use flexible funding methods.
Ceasefire Breach: Operation 1027 Shakes Western Myanmar
Operation 1027, initiated by the Three Brotherhood Alliance, has broken a year-long informal ceasefire in western Myanmar, significantly challenging the already stretched Myanmar military. The operation, involving coordinated attacks by ethnic revolutionary groups, has led to the capture of numerous military outposts and towns. In response, the junta has resorted to airstrikes and heavy artillery, causing civilian casualties and damage. The conflict has exacerbated the humanitarian crisis in Rakhine State, already devastated by Cyclone Mocha. The junta's strategies, including arbitrary arrests and blocking humanitarian aid, are likely to worsen the situation, potentially marking a turning point in Myanmar's post-coup conflict.
‘Operation 1027’: A Turning-Point For Myanmar’s Resistance Struggle?
Myanmar's resistance struggle against the military junta, which seized power in February 2021, may be reaching a turning point with 'Operation 1027'. Launched by the Three Brotherhood Alliance, the operation aims to combat junta forces in northern Shan State. Despite international distractions from other global events, the Myanmar military has been unable to consolidate its coup, facing resistance from various groups. The military has imposed martial law in numerous townships and committed human rights abuses. The recent offensive in Kachin State was repelled by the Kachin Independence Army with support from allies. 'Operation 1027' has made rapid progress, capturing towns and military outposts, and receiving support from various anti-regime militias and the National Unity Government. The operation's success could signal a shift in Myanmar's armed revolution, challenging the junta's military capability and potentially altering the political landscape.
Democratic states should recognize Myanmar's National Unity Government
Reports of fatal attacks on protesters in Myanmar highlight the ongoing violence despite ASEAN's call for peace. The article argues for the recognition of Myanmar's National Unity Government as the legitimate political authority, criticizing the junta's actions and questioning ASEAN's effectiveness.
Responses to Humanitarian Needs in Western Myanmar after Cyclone Mocha
Cyclone Mocha, a Category 5 storm, struck western Myanmar on May 14, 2023, causing significant damage and leaving 1.5 million people in urgent need of aid. The State Administration Council (SAC) restricted access to affected areas, exacerbating the crisis. In contrast, the United League of Arakan (ULA) and its military wing, the Arakan Army (AA), proactively evacuated communities and provided early assistance. The ULA/AA leveraged its networks for aid, while the SAC's restrictive measures hindered effective humanitarian response. The article compares the differing responses and highlights the need for alternative aid delivery methods to reach affected communities.
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