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Majed kayali is a Palestinian political writer, born in 1954. He has written political studies and studies in magazines dealing with Palestinian and Israeli issues, issues of the Arab-Israeli conflict, Syrian affairs and democracy issues ماجد كيالي ـ كاتب سياسي فلسطيني، من مواليد حلب (1954). ـ كتب الدراسات والأبحاث السياسية في المجلات المتعلقة بالشؤون الفلسطينية والإسرائيلية، والشؤون السورية وقضايا الديمقراطية، وشؤون الصراع العربي ـ الإسرائيلي، من مثل: شؤون عربية (القاهرة)، الدراسات الفلسطينية (بيروت)، وشؤون فلسطينية (رام الله)، والسياسة الدولية (القاهرة). ـ ينشر مقالات وتعليقات اسبوعية حول القضايا العربية في صحيفة الحياة والعرب اللندنيتين، كان نشر في صحيفتي النهار والمستقبل اللبنانيتين، كما نشر في صحيفة البيان الإماراتية والوطن السعودية والشرق الاوسط. ـ صدر له الكتب التالية: 1 ـ "فلسطينيو 48 والانتفاضة"، دار نشر "شرق برس"، قبرص (1991). 2 ـ "المشروع الشرق أوسطي.. أبعاده، مرتكزاته، تناقضاته"، مركز الإمارات للدراسات والبحوث الإستراتيجية (ابو ظبي 1998). 3 ـ "التسوية وقضايا الحل النهائي"، مركز الدراسات الإستراتيجية والبحوث والتوثيق ( بيروت1998). 4 ـ الشرق الأوسط الكبير دلالاته وإشكالياته، عن مركز الإمارات للدراسات الإستراتيجية ( أبو ظبي2007). 5 ـ قيامة شعب ـ قراءة في دفتر الثورات العربية. دار نشر "جداول" (بيروت 2012) 6ـ فلسطينو سوريا ـ مركز "مسارات"، (رام الله، 2012) 7ـ الثورة المجهضة، دراسات في إشكاليات التجربة الوطنية الفلسطينية، المؤسسة العربية للدراسات والنشر، (عمان/بيروت، 2013). 8ـ تحولات إسرائيل في عالم متغيّر، مركز الأبحاث الفلسطيني، رام الله 2013. 9 ـ "فتح" 50 عاما قراءة نقدية في مآلات حركة وطنية. 10ـ شارك في عديد من المؤلفات الجماعية العربية، ضمنها كتاب:"حال الامة العربية 2013ـ2014 الذي حرره د علي الدين هلال واصدره مركز دراسات الوحدة العربية (بيروت 2014) للتواصل: واتس اب: 00905312674506 ايميل: : ******
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Takeaways from Israeli elections
The 22nd Knesset elections in Israel mirrored the previous elections with minor differences, highlighting the deep divisions within Israeli society along political, cultural, and ethnic lines. The right-wing camp saw a slight increase in support, and the Arab bloc may play a crucial role in government formation. The elections underscored the decline of traditional parties like the Labour Party and the rise of new coalitions such as Blue and White. Yisrael Beiteinu emerged as a key player in government formation. The results showed a fragmented political landscape, making it challenging to predict the next government's composition. Netanyahu has a better chance of forming a government but needs to secure support from Yisrael Beiteinu or form a national unity government with Blue and White. Regardless of the government's final composition, significant changes in foreign policy or the Palestinian issue are unlikely.
No light at the end of the tunnel for Syria
After seven years of conflict, Syria remains embroiled in a complex war influenced by international and regional powers, including the United States, Russia, Iran, and Turkey. The Syrian regime, with the support of its allies, has displaced millions and shifted the global narrative from revolution to counter-terrorism. The opposition lacks unified leadership and has been compromised by extremist factions. International efforts to resolve the conflict have been ineffective, and the focus has shifted to managing refugee flows. The Syrian revolution's failure to produce credible leadership and reliance on foreign support has fragmented national identity and prolonged the suffering of the Syrian people.
The stakes in the Hamas-Fatah reconciliation drive
The Syrian conflict at the brink of a turning point
The withdrawal of US troops from Syria, as announced by President Donald Trump, has significant implications for the various external actors involved in the conflict, including Russia, Turkey, and Iran. Turkey postponed its troop deployment along the Syrian border, while Russia expressed skepticism about the US announcement. The developments suggest a turning point in the Syrian conflict, with a post-war-on-terror phase that will likely see a reduction in Iran's influence, a new UN-led constitutional committee or Geneva process, and a redefined Turkish role in establishing a safe zone in northern Syria. The military presence in Syria is expected to remain with Turkey in the northwest, the US maintaining a small force, and the Syrian regime controlling the west and center with Russian and Iranian support. Southern Syria may fall under indirect Israeli influence. The rules of the conflict are changing, with the Idlib region remaining a potential flashpoint. Russia's role is increasing at the expense of Iran, and despite a limited US military presence, the US continues to play a management role in the conflict.
Why the Palestinian leadership cannot get out of the Oslo Accords
The Palestinian Authority's decision to stop observing agreements with Israel, including those from the Oslo Accords, is seen as unrealistic and unlikely to be implemented. This is partly due to the PA's dependency on Israel for security, infrastructure, and basic needs, as well as the lack of international support and internal Palestinian divisions. The PA's existence and legitimacy are rooted in the Oslo Accords, making it improbable for the leadership to abandon the agreements. The article also highlights the disillusionment with the United States, which has shifted its stance to favor Israel, further complicating the situation for the Palestinian leadership.
Will political change emerge from among Palestinians in Israel?
The article discusses the political crisis among Palestinians in Israel, highlighting the stagnation and disintegration of their political movement. It emphasizes the failure of the Follow-up Committee to form a unified national framework and the decline in Palestinian voting power in the Knesset elections. The article explores the need for unity among Palestinians and the potential for political reform, particularly through the efforts of As'ad Ghanem, who advocates for a new political movement and increased Palestinian participation in elections. The piece underscores the importance of addressing the Palestinian national crisis and the role of the PLO in representing all Palestinians.
What comes after 11 rounds of Astana?
The 11th round of Astana negotiations between the Syrian opposition and the Assad-led government, sponsored by Russia, Iran, and Turkey, has failed to achieve its goals of de-escalation, ending terrorist groups, resolving humanitarian issues, and forging a political solution. The Astana process, outside the framework of international resolutions, has been marred by distrust and non-compliance from the involved countries, each pursuing their own agendas. Despite efforts, the Syrian conflict remains unresolved, with the United States' stance on reconstruction and political transition being a significant factor. The future of Syria remains uncertain, dependent on broader international consensus and actions.
The requirements of intra-Palestinian dialogue
Fatah and Hamas have failed to resolve their long-standing divisions, which continue to harm the Palestinian cause. The lack of genuine will to reconcile, internal power struggles, and external influences, particularly from Iran, exacerbate the situation. The article outlines several requirements for successful intra-Palestinian dialogue, including rebuilding the PLO on democratic bases, adopting conflict-resolution mechanisms, and holding new elections. Without these fundamental changes, reconciliation efforts are likely to continue failing.
رابط بمواد ماجد كيالي في موقع الجزيرة نت
كتاب: مشروع الشرق الأوسط الكبير.. دلالته وإشكالاته -المؤلف: ماجد كيالي -الصفحات: 95 -الناشر: مركز الإمارات للدراسات والبحوث الإستراتيجية، أبوظبي -الطبعة: الأولى/ 2007
كتاب: الثورة المجهضة ..دراسات في إشكاليات التجربة الوطنية الفلسطينية ـ لـ ماجد كيالي 2013المؤسسة العربية للدراسات والنشر – لبنان
كتاب: قيامة شعب..قراءة أولية في دفتر الثورات العربية تأليف ماجد كيالي اصدار دار جداول بيروت 2013
رابط بقائمة بمواد ماجد كيالي المنشورة في جريدة العرب اللندنيةراب
كتاب: التسوية وقضايا الحل النهائي ماجد كيالي مركز الدراسات الاستراتيجية والبحوث والتوثيق ـ بيروت 1998
كتاب ماجد كيالي مشروع الشرق الأوسط الكبير؛ دلالاته وإشكالاته مركز الإمارات للدراسات والبحوث, 2007
كتاب ماجد كيالي وعنوانه: فتح 50 عاما قراءة في مآلآت حركة وطنية عن المؤسسة العربية للدراسات والنشر في عمان وبيروت، وعن مركز مسارات في رام الله 2016
رابط في قائمة مواضيع منشورة في صحيفة الحياة اللندنية
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