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Check FAQAbout Piero
Piero Cingari is an accomplished financial writer and analyst with a rich background in covering financial and economic themes. He holds master's in economics from the University of Bologna. He began as a bond/FX strategist at AcomeA SGR, later covering currencies and commodities at Capital.com. His expertise spans finance, macroeconomics, geopolitics, and global markets, with contributions to Benzinga, Flowbank, Business Insider, Euronews, AI Monitor
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Jobs Report Preview: Could October Nonfarm Payrolls Defy Hurricane Disruptions, Strikes And Election Uncertainty?
The upcoming October jobs report is anticipated to reveal the resilience of the U.S. labor market amid disruptions from hurricanes, strikes, and election uncertainties. Economists predict a slowdown in nonfarm payroll growth, with expectations of 113,000 new jobs, down from 254,000 in September. Factors such as Hurricane Milton and the Boeing strike are expected to have negatively impacted employment figures. However, private payroll data from ADP suggests robust job growth, particularly in the services sector. Market reactions to previous jobs reports have varied, with significant impacts on the S&P 500 based on employment data outcomes.
Eurozone inflation tops estimates in October: Could this affect ECB policies?
Eurozone inflation rose to 2% in October, surpassing expectations and raising questions about the European Central Bank's (ECB) future monetary policies. The increase was driven by services and food prices, while energy remained deflationary. Inflationary pressures were noted across major EU economies, including Germany, France, and Italy. The ECB anticipated a temporary inflation rise and remains committed to a data-dependent approach. Market reactions were mixed, with the euro gaining slightly and European equities experiencing losses. BNP Paribas reported disappointing quarterly results, impacting its stock performance.
Trump: The 'wonderful' EU will have to pay a 'big price' for trade in the US
Donald Trump, speaking in Pennsylvania, criticized the European Union's trade practices with the US, suggesting a potential 10% tariff on EU exports to the US. This move could significantly impact EU industries reliant on exports, particularly affecting Germany, Italy, and Ireland. The EU exported goods worth €502.3 billion to the US in 2023, with machinery, vehicles, and chemicals being the primary sectors at risk. The proposed tariffs could lead to increased costs, reduced competitiveness, and potential job losses in Europe, amid existing economic pressures.
Gold ETF Posts Highest Monthly Inflows In 2.5 Years As Investors Rush To Safe Haven Ahead Of Presidential Election
The SPDR Gold Trust, the largest gold ETF, experienced significant inflows in October 2024, driven by economic and policy uncertainties surrounding the U.S. presidential election. The ETF's assets reached $79.7 billion, marking the strongest monthly inflow since March 2022. Global gold demand surged, with a 5% year-over-year increase in the third quarter, as investors sought safe-haven assets amid fiscal and geopolitical uncertainties. Analysts highlight concerns over U.S. fiscal policies and the evolving role of gold as a hedge against economic sanctions, with countries like China increasing their gold reserves to reduce dependence on the U.S. dollar.
Fed Interest Rate Cuts Expected, But Economists Warn Of 'Bumpy Course In This Last Mile' To Curb Inflation
The Federal Reserve is expected to implement a 0.25% interest rate cut at its November meeting, with another cut likely in December, as inflation shows signs of cooling. The PCE inflation rate has decelerated, aligning with the Fed's 2% target, but core inflation pressures remain. Economists, including Joseph Brusuelas and Jeffrey Roach, caution that while the Fed is nearing its inflation target, the path to sustained 2% inflation is challenging. Mohamed El Erian and Quincy Krosby highlight the resilience of consumer spending and wages as factors complicating the Fed's efforts. The central bank is advised to adopt a gradual approach to rate cuts amid persistent core inflation pressures.
US GDP Rises 2.8% In Q3, But Can The Momentum Last? What 6 Top Economists Are Saying
The U.S. economy grew by 2.8% in the third quarter, driven by strong consumer spending and a significant increase in defense spending. Economists like Mohamed El-Erian and Jeffrey Roach highlight the resilience of the U.S. economy, though caution about the sustainability of defense spending. Inflation data showed mixed signals, with core PCE slightly higher than expected. Economists predict potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with some suggesting preemptive measures to counter economic deceleration. The report presents a favorable scenario for the Fed, with solid growth and moderating inflation.
Stocks Tumble, Nasdaq 100 Selloffs As Tech Giants Disappoint, Crypto Companies Plummet: What's Driving Markets Thursday?
Investor disappointment over third-quarter tech earnings led to a significant drop in major U.S. indices, with Microsoft and Meta Platforms experiencing notable declines due to concerns over future growth and expenditures. The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 faced their worst sessions in nearly two months, while commodities like gold and silver also saw declines. Cryptocurrency markets were hit hard, with Bitcoin and Coinbase suffering losses. Despite mixed signals from inflation data, the market's risk aversion was evident, impacting various sectors and leading to a surge in the CBOE Volatility Index.
Gold Prices Rise To All-Time Highs, Mark Best Month In 4 Years: Mining Stocks Rally As Traders Anticipate Windfall Gains
Gold prices reached a new all-time high of over $2,220 an ounce in March 2024, marking the best monthly performance since July 2020 with an 8.5% increase. The surge has positively impacted gold mining stocks, with significant gains in both the VanEck Gold Miners ETF and the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF. Top performers included Equinox Gold Corp., Coeur Mining, Inc., and Argonaut Gold Inc. Central banks are increasing gold purchases due to medium-term debt dynamics and domestic political polarization, with Bank of America strategist Francisco Blanch comparing the situation to the end of USD-gold convertibility in 1971 and highlighting the geopolitical rift between the U.S./EU and China/Russia.
Soft landing for Italy's economy: Why is inflation lower in Italy than the rest of Europe?
Italy's economy has achieved a 'soft landing,' balancing slowed growth with controlled inflation without triggering a recession. The annual consumer inflation rate in Italy was 1.3% in March 2024, lower than the Eurozone average. This decline is attributed to reduced energy prices and effective monetary policy, which has curbed loan growth. Forecasts suggest inflation will remain around 2% in the coming years. The Italian services sector shows signs of expansion, and the unemployment rate is at a 16-year low. Experts highlight the resilience of Italy's economy and the positive outlook for investment, employment, and profits.
Spain's economy is thriving: Why it's growing more than its EU rivals
Spain's economy is experiencing robust growth, outpacing its European counterparts due to strong domestic consumption and investment. The IBEX 35 Index and house prices have surged, and employment has increased significantly. Despite inflation remaining above pre-pandemic levels, it has moderated from previous highs. Spanish assets are performing well, with the IBEX 35 Index seeing significant gains. Moody's has revised Spain's outlook to positive, citing strong economic fundamentals. Eurostat projects continued growth driven by consumption and investment, with inflation expected to moderate further.
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