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About Roland
Roland Marchal is senior research fellow at the National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS), based at the Center for International Researches (CERI/Sciences-Po, Paris, website: http://www.sciencespo.fr/ceri/). He was the chief editor of the French academic quarterly, Politique africaine (website: www.politique-africaine.org) from 2002 to 2006. He has been researching and publishing on the conflicts and politics in the Horn of Africa and Central Africa and worked as a consultant for different governments, the World Bank and the European Union. His current expertise is focused on Somalia, Central African Republic, Chad and some Sahelian countries and the policy of great powers on the African continent.
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End of Transition in Chad

29 Nov 2024  |  www.areion24.news
The article discusses the political transition in Chad, highlighting the return of Succès Masra as Prime Minister and the subsequent political maneuvers leading up to the presidential elections. It examines the challenges faced by Mahamat Kaka in maintaining power, including internal military dynamics and ethnic considerations. The article also explores Chad's foreign policy priorities, focusing on international relations and regional stability amidst crises in neighboring countries. Despite efforts to normalize the regime internationally, challenges remain in achieving tangible democratization.

End of Transition in Chad

29 Nov 2024  |  www.areion24.news
Chad's political landscape is influenced by its evolving relationships with international players, notably the United Arab Emirates, France, and Russia. The UAE's involvement has shifted Chad's stance in the Sudanese conflict, while France continues to support Chad diplomatically. Russia's influence remains limited, despite Chad's engagement with Moscow. Qatar's renewed interest in Chad could destabilize the current balance, especially with the potential influx of Sudanese refugees. Mahamat Kaka's leadership is characterized by strategic navigation of these international dynamics, balancing relations with various global powers.

End of Transition in Chad

29 Nov 2024  |  www.areion24.news
Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno has been elected as the President of Chad, marking the end of a three-year transition following the death of his father, Idriss Déby. The transition, characterized by a continuation of the previous regime's policies, raises questions about its dynastic nature and the country's future stability. Despite initial hopes for a shift towards a more open regime, the political landscape remains complex, with regional challenges and international dynamics influencing Chad's internal stability. The article highlights the need for long-term public policies to address Chad's socio-economic viability.

End of Transition in Chad

29 Nov 2024  |  www.areion24.news
The article discusses the political transition in Chad, highlighting efforts for reconciliation and the challenges faced. The Doha meeting aimed to bring together political-military organizations, but concerns arose over the lack of political depth and funding for disarmament. The National Inclusive and Sovereign Dialogue (DNIS) raised issues but was seen as controlled and rhetorical. The lifting of the presidential candidacy ban for Mahamat Kaka and the repression of October 2022 protests indicated a shift in the transition phase. The constitutional referendum preparation and results further demonstrated the regime's control, with discrepancies in observed participation and published results, reflecting the persistence of the old political system.

End of Transition in Chad

29 Nov 2024  |  www.areion24.news
Chad's transition period is marked by complex regional dynamics, involving military and diplomatic maneuvers to manage threats from the FACT and other groups in Libya and the Central African Republic. The Sudanese conflict between the FSR and SAF poses significant challenges, influencing Chad's alliances and internal stability. The country's financial constraints and diplomatic relations with Qatar and the UAE further complicate its political landscape. Key figures like Mahamat Kaka and regional leaders play crucial roles in navigating these challenges.

End of Transition in Chad

29 Nov 2024  |  www.areion24.news
Chad faces significant social tensions and challenges in the aftermath of its political transition, with divisions between the North and South and a lack of government attention to these issues. The humanitarian crisis in Darfour and the influx of refugees highlight the country's reliance on humanitarian aid rather than sustainable development strategies. Climate change exacerbates these challenges, with severe weather impacting the population. The new leadership is urged to address these fundamental needs to prevent a resurgence of politico-military groups, as the current government's inaction mirrors past failures.

In Chad: 'Déby without Déby', but still with France

10 May 2022  |  www.areion24.news
On April 20, 2021, the Chadian army announced the death of President Idriss Déby, who was killed in battle against FACT rebels shortly after being re-elected for a sixth term. The article explores the history of armed rebellions in Chad, the role of ethnic groups, and the influence of French military support. Following Déby's death, a Transitional Military Council (CMT) led by his son Mahamat Idriss Déby was established, facing criticism for its ambiguous transition plans and exclusion of opposition groups. The article questions the effectiveness of French cooperation and highlights the potential for future conflicts due to internal rivalries and the new leadership's inexperience.

The End of a War? Revisiting the Eritrean-Ethiopian Conflict

04 Jan 2021  |  www.areion24.news
The rapid reconciliation between Ethiopia and Eritrea after nearly 20 years of conflict masks unresolved issues. The appointment of Abiy Ahmed Ali as Ethiopia's Prime Minister in 2018 marked significant political shifts, leading to a swift peace process with Eritrea. Despite the official end of hostilities, the details of agreements remain secretive, and regional instability persists. Historical tensions, economic policies, and regional ambitions complicate the peace. The Eritrean regime's control and Ethiopia's internal challenges highlight the fragile nature of this newfound peace. The geopolitical landscape, influenced by Gulf countries and international powers, adds further complexity to the situation.

We are not spies: appeal for Fariba and other persecuted researchers in Iran

06 Jun 2020  |  Corriere della Sera
Fariba Adelkhah, a Franco-Iranian anthropologist, has been sentenced to six years in prison in Iran, highlighting the plight of around twenty researchers detained for political reasons. The article discusses the vulnerability of academics in Iran, the influence of the Guardians of the Revolution on the judiciary, and the broader implications for academic freedom and international relations. It calls for international recognition of specific rights for researchers and criticizes the indifference of some Western countries to such arrests. The text emphasizes the need for realistic diplomacy focused on dialogue and trust-building.

The real reasons behind al-Shabab's fatal attack on a Nairobi hotel

18 Jan 2019  |  Middle East Eye
The attack on the Dusit hotel in Nairobi by al-Shabab on 15 January was driven by multiple factors, including the group's response to US drone strikes in Somalia, competition with the Islamic State, and the Kenyan military's involvement in Somalia. Despite al-Shabab's claim that the attack was in response to the US embassy move to Jerusalem, the group's actions are more closely tied to local and regional dynamics. The article highlights the evolving nature of al-Shabab's recruitment and operations, as well as the Kenyan government's improved counter-terrorism measures.
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