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Tina Teng

Auckland, New Zealand
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About Tina
Tina Teng was a Market Analyst at CMC Markets from 2015 to 2024, providing client education, market commentary, and media presentations. She specializes in technical analysis and market fundamentals. Tina believes financial markets comprise a vast area reflecting economies, politics, history, psychology, and philosophy. As a result, her analysis is based on her interpretation of a specific country’s economic and historical background, alongside investor sentiment and behavior. 
Tina's expertise has garnered recognition, with her commentary frequently quoted by reputable sources like Bloomberg, CNBC, Routers, WSJ, and AFR. Her insights span a diverse spectrum, covering various financial domains, including stock markets, foreign exchange, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. Previously, she also spent significant time with China Central Television. This experience allowed her to develop a deep understanding and insight into China’s economics and business.
Content Writing

The 2024 Outlook in Forex

23 Feb 2024  |  www.cmcmarkets.com
The article discusses the global trend of central banks raising interest rates throughout 2023 to combat inflation, with most now pausing to assess the economic impact. The narrative has shifted from the necessity of vigilance against inflation to a speculation on which central bank will first reduce rates. The USD's strength in 2023 is expected to reverse if US bond yields continue to decline. The US economy is forecasted to slow in 2024, with potential rate cuts by the Fed. The article also covers the economic outlooks for Australia, China, the Eurozone, and the UK, with predictions on how their currencies may perform against the AUD. The Reserve Bank of Australia has softened its stance, the ECB may be the first to cut rates, and the UK faces potential stagflation. The article suggests that 2024 could be as unpredictable as 2023 for markets and economies.

APAC Week Ahead: All eyes on the BOJ Decision

23 Feb 2024  |  www.cmcmarkets.com
The article discusses the economic outlook and market reactions in the United States, Japan, China, Australia, and Canada following recent decisions by their respective central banks. In the US, the Federal Reserve's dovish stance has led to a stock market rally, with the Dow hitting an all-time high and expectations of rate cuts next year. Japan's Bank of Japan is facing challenges in shifting its monetary policy without destabilizing bond yields, despite speculation about ending negative interest rates. China's loan prime rates decision will indicate if further economic stimulus is forthcoming, with mixed economic data observed. Australia's Reserve Bank of Australia's dovish turn has positively impacted local equity markets. Canada's upcoming CPI and GDP reports are expected to show declining inflation and stalled economic growth. The article also notes the performance of industrial stocks, small-cap stocks, US government bond yields, gold, and oil prices.

BOJ is unlikely to change its policy stance

23 Feb 2024  |  www.cmcmarkets.com
The article discusses the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy, particularly its negative interest rates, and the likelihood of a policy change. Despite expectations, the BOJ is not anticipated to end negative interest rates soon due to concerns over bond market disruption and unsustainable wage growth. Japan's economy contracted significantly in the third quarter, and inflation is above the BOJ's target without strong consumer demand. The BOJ's policy has historically not spurred economic growth or inflation, and the negative interest rate has weakened the Japanese Yen, causing fund outflow and inflationary pressure. The BOJ has started tightening by increasing the 10-year JGB yield cap, which may affect the USD/JPY exchange rate. The article suggests that the BOJ will maintain its dovish stance in the upcoming meeting.

Caution Advised as Wall Street Bulls Face Potential Bull Trap amid Fed's Stance on March Rate Cut

23 Feb 2024  |  www.cmcmarkets.com
The article discusses the cautious sentiment on Wall Street due to mixed US tech earnings and the Federal Reserve's stance against a March rate cut. It highlights Tesla's significant drop and Nvidia's and Netflix's gains. The Australian market reached a record high, driven by financial and energy sectors, with the RBA's rate decision being a key factor. The ASX is preparing for earnings season with major companies like CBA and mining giants set to report. China's economic slowdown is reflected in its stock indices, but the Lunar New Year may boost spending. New Zealand's NZX has seen gains, but the RBNZ's upcoming decision could influence the market. Gold prices may test all-time highs due to the Fed's policy, while oil markets face challenges from China's economy and US production levels.

US stocks resumed gains

02 Feb 2024  |  www.cmcmarkets.com
US stocks saw a rebound as traders processed the Federal Reserve's indication of no rate cut in March. Big tech companies like Amazon, Meta, and Apple reported earnings that exceeded expectations, with Amazon and Meta's shares jumping in after-hours trading. Despite this, signs of bearish divergence suggest a potential market correction could be forthcoming. The US dollar weakened against G-10 currencies as the Bank of England maintained its interest rate, with Governor Andrew Bailey hinting at future rate cuts. Gold prices reached a two-week high due to the weaker dollar and falling US bond yields, while oil prices dropped sharply due to peace negotiations between Israel and Hamas. Company-specific news includes Amazon's strong earnings forecast and revenue beat, Meta's advertising revenue boost from Chinese retailers, and Apple's earnings beat despite a sales decline in China.

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