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Check FAQAbout Augusto
Augusto Conconi is a journalist based in São Paulo, Brazil.
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Will Bullrich's votes go to Milei or Massa? Simulate the 2nd round in Argentina
On November 19, Argentinians will return to the polls to elect their next president, with the second round featuring a contest between Peronist minister Sergio Massa and ultra-liberal deputy Javier Milei. The voters of Patricia Bullrich, who came third in the first round, have become a focal point as she has declared her support for Milei. Despite Bullrich's closer alignment with Milei's platform, analysts do not see the transfer of her 23.8% of first-round votes as automatic. Folha de S.Paulo has launched a tool to simulate potential vote migration scenarios among the top three candidates.
Global Inflation Monitor: Compare Brazil with Other Countries
Following the Covid pandemic and the war in Ukraine, the global economy may face new impacts due to the conflict between Hamas and Israel, depending on the extent and direction of the conflict. The IMF's projections for global inflation in the coming years could be recalculated due to this new shock, especially in the Middle East. However, data so far indicates a significant drop in inflation for 2023. The IMF predicts a decrease from 8.7% in 2022 to 6.9% in 2023, with a further reduction to 5.8% in 2024. An interactive chart compares inflation trends worldwide over the past decades, the IMF's projections, and Brazil's price increases. The tool also allows for comparisons with 196 countries. In the BRICS group, Brazil has had moderate inflation compared to its peers, with Russia experiencing the highest rates. Global crises, such as the 2008 financial crisis, have led to inflation spikes in all countries. In Latin America, excluding Argentina and Venezuela, inflation is decreasing and may reach 5% in 2023. Uruguay and Argentina have faced significant economic crises impacting their inflation rates. In Brazil, the highest inflation peaks since the creation of the real occurred during the pandemic, the 2015 recession leading to Dilma Rousseff's impeachment, and in 2002, the year Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva was first elected president.
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